Article

September 15, 2026

Unsupervised Methods Applied to Industrial Ethanol Producing Yeasts of First and Second Generations

Luciana Souto Mofatto; Cleverson Henrique de Freitas

DOI: 10.22167/2675-6528-202602264

Article derived from a Final Course Work (TCC), with content based on the student’s original work and adapted to the editorial format of the Revista E&S with the support of the ResumeAI tool, an artificial intelligence solution developed by the Pecege Institute for textual synthesis and organization.

Summary

The understanding of molecular mechanisms in ethanol production is crucial for industrial optimization, given its consolidation as a sustainable alternative. The study evaluated the transcriptomic profiles of industrial yeasts Saccharomyces cerevisiae “Pedra-2” in first-generation (1G) and second-generation (2G) ethanol production, at different fermentation times, using unsupervised methods. Public RNA-seq data were employed, subjected to quality control, pre-processing, genomic alignment, and transcript quantification in TPM. Analyses included Pearson correlation, Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Factor Analysis of Mixed Data (FAMD), and hierarchical clustering. The results revealed a clear separation between the gene expression profiles of 1G and 2G, with the type of fermentation as the main factor of variability. The 1G samples exhibited greater temporal organization and stability, while the 2G samples showed greater heterogeneity and metabolic complexity. Differences in metabolic pathways associated with carbon flux were identified, with glycolysis predominating in 1G and greater participation of the pentose phosphate pathway and the tricarboxylic acid cycle in 2G. It was concluded that unsupervised methods were effective in identifying relevant biological patterns, contributing to the understanding of metabolic differences between the processes and offering support for optimization strategies in ethanol production.

Keywords: Machine learning; Bioinformatics; Gene expression; Fermentation; Transcriptome.

1. Introduction

The growing demand for renewable energy sources has driven the production of ethanol as a sustainable alternative to fossil fuels (Goldemberg, 2008). Brazil stands out as one of the largest global producers, using sugarcane as the main raw material due to its high yield and economic viability (Basso et al., 2011; Renewable Fuels Association, 2024; Wheals et al., 1999). Government programs and investments in research and development, such as Proálcool, FAPESP’s BIOEN program, and the National Laboratory for Biorenewables (LNBR), have been fundamental to the advancement and consolidation of the sector (Leite et al., 2009; Roman, 2010).

The production of ethanol occurs through the fermentation of sugars, a process in which yeasts convert glucose into ethanol and carbon dioxide (Basso et al., 2011). The species Saccharomyces cerevisiae is widely used in industrial fermentations due to characteristics such as high cell viability, genetic conservation capacity, tolerance to high concentrations of ethanol and carbohydrates, and resistance to multiple fermentation cycles and temperature variations (Dequin, 2001). Brazilian industrial strains, such as “Pedra-2” and “CAT-1”, are examples of strains that exhibit these qualities (Argueso et al., 2009; Basso et al., 2008; Della-Bianca et al., 2013).

Ethanol is classified into generations, with the first generation (1G) being obtained from the fermentation of sucrose present in sugarcane juice. This is a consolidated process, with high productivity and which does not require pre-treatment of the raw material. However, 1G ethanol production faces challenges such as the seasonality of sugarcane and competition with sugar production. Sugarcane genetic improvement and optimization of industrial processes are strategies adopted to mitigate these limitations (Goldemberg, 2008; Leite et al., 2009).

In contrast, second-generation (2G) ethanol emerges as a promising alternative, utilizing lignocellulosic residues, such as sugarcane bagasse and straw, to enhance biomass utilization and sector sustainability (Lynd et al., 2005). This process involves the conversion of cellulose and hemicellulose into fermentable sugars through enzymatic or acidic hydrolysis. However, Saccharomyces cerevisiae does not naturally metabolize pentoses, sugars abundant in hemicellulose, which limits the efficiency of the 2G fermentation process (Matsushika et al., 2009).

To overcome the limitations of 2G ethanol, metabolic engineering has been used to genetically modify yeasts, allowing the consumption of hexoses and pentoses (xylose, arabinose) and thus enabling the production of 2G ethanol (Matsushika et al., 2009). Strategies include the introduction of reductive/oxidative and isomerization metabolic pathways, as well as the combination of genes from microorganisms such as Escherichia coli and Pichia stipitis (Karhumaa et al., 2007). Overexpression of sugar transporters also improves pentose uptake and metabolism, increasing productivity (Basso et al., 2011). Furthermore, evolutionary engineering enhances characteristics such as tolerance to ethanol, high temperatures, and toxic compounds, selecting more robust strains to reduce costs and increase efficiency (Della-Bianca et al., 2013; Basso et al., 2011; Leite et al., 2009).

Bioinformatics plays a crucial role in yeast engineering, aiding in genomic analysis and the identification of genes related to fermentation. DNA and RNA sequencing techniques, along with computational modeling, allow for a deep understanding of microbial physiology and optimize genetic modifications (Abreu-Cavalheiro and Monteiro, 2014; Buschke et al., 2013). RNA sequencing is particularly important for detecting changes in gene expression under different conditions. Previous studies have already employed this technique to evaluate the gene profiles of industrial yeasts during the production of 1G and 2G bioethanol (Carvalho-Netto et al., 2015; Carvalho et al., 2021).

Together with bioinformatics, machine learning has been widely applied in the structural prediction of proteins, the analysis of their interactions, and the evaluation of gene expression. As part of artificial intelligence, machine learning uses statistical models and algorithms that “learn” from data (Yousef and Allmer, 2023). In the context of gene expression, machine learning methodologies are implemented to predict variations in expression levels, such as the application of Bayesian networks based on the k-means clustering algorithm to identify patterns (Al Taweraqi and King, 2022).

Despite significant advances, challenges such as the complexity of hydrolysis and fermentation processes, high enzyme costs, and the need for greater efficiency in pentose conversion persist (Della-Bianca et al., 2013). The integration of metabolic and evolutionary engineering, allied with bioinformatics and machine learning, represents a promising approach to overcome these limitations (Karhumaa et al., 2007). In this context, the present work aims to perform analyses, using unsupervised methods, to evaluate different transcriptional profiles and gene expression variations, from already published data (Carvalho-Netto et al., 2015; Carvalho et al., 2021), of Saccharomyces cerevisiae yeast “Pedra-2” under industrial-scale 1G and 2G ethanol fermentation conditions.

2. Material and Methods

Data collection

Transcriptome data were obtained in FASTQ format from the “Sequence Read Archives Database” [SRA] repository (2009) (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sra/). These data, from Next Generation Sequencing of short reads generated by “Illumina” equipment (Cock et al., 2010), contain nucleotide sequences and quality scores.

For the first-generation industrial yeasts Saccharomyces cerevisiae [PE-2] [1G], data were collected in 2009, directly from the fermentation tanks of a distillery in Maracaí, São Paulo, Brazil, according to the article by Carvalho-Netto et al. (2015) (“BioProject number” “PRJNA172193”). Samples of “Typical fermentation” were obtained at 1h, 4h, 7h, 10h, 12h, and 15 hours of fermentation.

For yeasts that ferment 2G ethanol, data were obtained from the article by Carvalho et al. (2021) (“BioProject number” “PRJNA667443”), identified as “Industrial fermentation”. Samples were collected in December 2016, directly from the fermentation tank of a plant in São Miguel dos Campos, Alagoas, Brazil, at 7h, 12h, 16h, and 24 hours of fermentation. The [2G] ethanol production used a lignocellulosic hydrolysate, obtained from hydrothermal pretreatment on sugarcane straw. Table 1 details the identification, fermentation type, replicate, and description of the experiments.

Table 1. Description of transcriptome variables referring to industrial yeasts subjected to different fermentation times, for the production of first [1G] and second [2G] generation ethanol

IDFermentation type (1G / 2G)ReplicaDescription
TF1_1G_1h1GUniqueIndustrial yeasts (traditional fermentation [TF]), collected within 1 hour.
TF2_1G_4h1GUniqueIndustrial yeasts (traditional fermentation [TF]), collected in a vat within 4 hours
TF3_1G_7h1GUniqueIndustrial yeasts (traditional fermentation [TF]), collected over a 7-hour period
TF4_1G_10h1GUniqueIndustrial yeasts (traditional fermentation [TF]), collected over a 10-hour period
TF5_1G_12h1GUniqueIndustrial yeasts (traditional fermentation [TF]), collected in the 12-hour period
TF6_1G_15h1GUniqueIndustrial yeasts (traditional fermentation [TF]), collected in the 15-hour period
F1_2G_7h2G1Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected from the vat 7 hours after pitching
F5_2G_7h2G2Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected over a period of 7 hours
F6_2G_7h2G3Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected over a period of 7 hours
F1_2G_12h2G1Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected within 12 hours
F5_2G_12h2G2Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected within 12 hours
F6_2G_12h2G3Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected within 12 hours
F1_2G_16h2G1Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected in the 16-hour period
F5_2G_16h2G2Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected in the 16-hour period
F6_2G_16h2G3Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected in the 16-hour period
F1_2G_24h2G1Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected in the 24-hour period
F5_2G_24h2G2Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected in the 24-hour period
F6_2G_24h2G3Industrial yeasts (sugarcane bagasse fermentation [F]), collected in the 24-hour period

Source: Original research results

Data Treatment

The data underwent quality analysis with the software “FastQC” v0.11.4 (Andrews, 2010). The adapter sequences from “Illumina” sequencing were removed using “Trimmomatic” v0.39 (Bolger et al., 2014).

For the quantification of transcripts, the data were aligned against the gene sequences of the laboratory yeast Saccharomyces cerevisiae S288c from the “Saccharomyces Genome Database” [SGD] (2007) (https://www.yeastgenome.org/), and 23 genes specific to “Stone-2” [PE-2] (Argueso et al., 2009), totaling 5,938 genes. Quantification was performed by the software “Kallisto” v0.44 (Bray et al., 2016), with parameters “-k 31 -b 100”. For “single-end reads” (industrial ethanol yeasts [1G]), the parameters “-I 150 -s 0.01” were used. A final table with all data in Transcripts Per Million [TPM] was generated for unsupervised analyses.

Normalized [TPM] is calculated by dividing the count of “reads” by the length of the “gene” (in “kilobases”) to obtain “reads” per “kilobase” [RPK], and then dividing all [RPK] values by 1,000,000. This normalization considers the length of the “gene” and the sequencing depth, resulting in the same sum of [TPM] for each sample (Zhao et al., 2021).

Unsupervised data analysis

To compare the expression data between industrial [1G] and [2G] fermentation yeasts, unsupervised data methodologies were used to identify organization, patterns, similarities, and differences. Methods included Pearson Correlation, Principal Component Analysis [PCA], Factor Analysis of Mixed Data [FAMD] (Pagès, 2004), and agglomerative hierarchical clustering.

Pearson correlation analysis, with correlation matrix and heatmap, was generated by Python scripts, using the packages “pandas”, “numpy”, “pingouin”, and “plotly.graph_objects”.

For Principal Component Analysis [PCA], Python scripts were used with the packages “pandas”, “numpy”, “factor_analyzer”, and “matplotlib”. Bartlett’s Test of Sphericity was performed, and the number of principal components was evaluated by Kaiser’s Criterion. Table 2 presents the principal components, eigenvalues, and variances.

Table 2. Main components, eigenvalues, variance, and cumulative variance obtained from the expression data of industrial yeast transcriptomes at different fermentation times, for first [1G] and second [2G] generation ethanol production

Principal ComponentsEigenvalueExplained VarianceCumulative Variance
Component 111,968966,49%66,49%
Component 22,877615,99%82,48%
Component 31,34457,47%89,95%
Component 41,04515,81%95,76%

Source: Original research results

Factor Analysis of Mixed Data [FAMD] was performed with scripts in the R language, using the libraries “ggplot2″, “dplyr”, “FactoMineR”, “factoextra”, “gridExtra” and “ggrepel”.

For agglomerative hierarchical clustering, Python scripts were employed with the packages “pandas”, “numpy”, “matplotlib”, “scipy.stats”, and “scipy”. The “complete linkage” method was used, applying Euclidean distance to all transcriptome data and to specific genes of carbon flux pathways affecting yeast metabolism. The metabolic pathways analyzed were: glycolytic pathway [GP], glycerol pathway [GR], pentose phosphate pathway [PPP], and the tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]. Table 3 lists the genes related to these pathways.

Table 3. Genes related to the metabolic pathways of carbon flux in industrial yeasts

Metabolic PathwayGenetic UnitsGene IDsGene Description
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]GLK1YCL040WGlucokinase
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]HXK1YFR053CHexokinase isoenzyme 1
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]PGI1YBR196CGlycolytic enzyme phosphoglucose isomerase
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]FBP1YLR377CFructose-1,6-bisphosphatase
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]PFK1YGR240CHeterooctameric phosphofructokinase alpha subunit
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]FBA1YKL060CFructose 1,6-bisphosphate aldolase
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]TPI1YDR050CTriose phosphate isomerase
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]TDH1YJL052WGlyceraldehyde-3-phosphate dehydrogenase (GAPDH), isozyme 1
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]PGK1YCR012W3-phosphoglycerate kinase
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]PGM1YKL127WPhosphoglucomutase, minor isoform
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]ENO1YGR254WEnolase I
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]PYK2YOR347CPyruvate kinase
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]PDC1YLR044CPyruvate decarboxylase
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]ALD4YOR374WMitochondrial aldehyde dehydrogenase
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]ALD5YER073WMitochondrial aldehyde dehydrogenase
Glycolytic Pathway [GP]ADH1YOL086CAlcohol dehydrogenase
Glycerol Pathway [GR]GPD1YDL022WNAD-dependent glycerol-3-phosphate dehydrogenase
Glycerol Pathway [GR]GPD2YOL059WNAD-dependent glycerol-3-phosphate dehydrogenase
Glycerol Pathway [GR]GPP1YIL053WGlycerol-1-phosphatase
Glycerol Pathway [GR]GUT1YHL032CGlycerol kinase
Pentose Phosphate Pathway [PPP]ZWF1YNL241CGlucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD)
Pentose Phosphate Pathway [PPP]GND1YHR183W6-phosphogluconate dehydrogenase (decarboxylating)
Pentose Phosphate Pathway [PPP]GND2YGR256W6-phosphogluconate dehydrogenase (decarboxylating)
Pentose Phosphate Pathway [PPP]RPE1YJL121CD-ribulose-5-phosphate 3-epimerase
Pentose Phosphate Pathway [PPP]RKI1YOR095CRibose-5-phosphate ceto isomerase
Pentose Phosphate Pathway [PPP]TKL1YPR074CTransketolase
Pentose Phosphate Pathway [PPP]TAL1YLR354CTransaldolase
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]PDA1YER178WAlpha subunit E1 of the pyruvate dehydrogenase (PDH) complex
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]PDB1YBR221CPyruvate dehydrogenase (PDH) complex beta subunit E1
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]LAT1YNL071WComponent of dihydrolipoyltransacetylase (E2) of the PDC
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]PYC1YGL062WPyruvate carboxylase isoform
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]CIT1YNR001CMitochondrial citrate synthase
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]ADH1YOL086CAlcohol dehydrogenase
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]ADP1YCR011CPutative ATP-dependent permease of the ABC transporter family.
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]KGD1YIL125WMitochondrial alpha-ketoglutarate dehydrogenase complex subunit
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]KGD2YDR148CDi-hydrolipoyl transsuccinylase
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]LSC1YOR142WAlpha subunit of succinyl-CoA ligase
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]LSC2YGR244CBeta subunit of succinyl-CoA ligase
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]SDH1YKL148CFlavoprotein subunit of succinate dehydrogenase
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]FUM1YPL262WFumarase enzymes
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]MDH1YKL085WMitochondrial malate dehydrogenase
Tricarboxylic acid cycle [TCA]ACO1YLR304CAconitase

Source: Translated from Saccharomyces Genome Database [SGD] (2007)

3. Results and Discussion

The descriptive statistical analysis of the data revealed that the gene expression means for all first-generation (1G) and second-generation (2G) yeast samples were close to 168.41. The standard deviations for the 1G samples ranged between 1,108.82 and 2,297.97, while for the 2G samples, the variation was from 829.04 to 5,064.89. The quartile 1 (25%) values for 1G were between 6.37 and 13.4, and for 2G, between 3.69 and 8.03. The maximum values for 1G ranged from 43,948 to 131,443, and for 2G, from 22,028.60 to 291,908. The uniformity of the means across all samples indicates that normalization of the data by Transcripts Per Million (TPM) was adequate, validating the comparability of the 1G (Carvalho-Netto et al., 2015) and 2G (Carvalho et al., 2021) data (Zhao et al., 2021).

To identify the expressed genes, an upset plot (Venn Diagram) was generated (Figure 1). Of the 5,938 genes found, 5,760 were common to both fermentation groups (1G and 2G), 58 were exclusive to the 1G group, 53 exclusive to the 2G group, and 67 were absent in both. The presence of a large number of common genes suggests that the basic survival and fermentation machinery of Saccharomyces cerevisiae is maintained, despite differences in substrates (sugarcane broth for 1G and lignocellulosic hydrolysate for 2G) and temporal and metabolic stress dynamics.

Figure 1. Venn diagram (“upset”) containing the quantity of genes expressed in the transcriptome of industrial yeasts at different fermentation times, for the production of first [1G] (TF samples) and second [2G] generations (F samples) ethanol

Source: Original research results

Pearson correlation analysis (Figure 2) revealed distinct groupings in the gene profiles. The 1G yeast samples formed two groups: one with 1h, 4h, and 7h of fermentation (correlation coefficient r > 0.95) and another with 10h, 12h, and 15h (r > 0.79). In the 2G samples, the 16h and 24h replicates showed lower correlation with the F1_2G_7h sample (r < 0.70 and 0.54, respectively). The F1_2G_24h sample also showed lower correlations with the 7h (r < 0.65) and 16h (r < 0.76) samples. All correlations were statistically significant (p < 0.05).

Figure 2. Heatmap referring to Pearson correlation methods on all genes obtained from the transcriptome data of fermentations [1G] (samples [TF]) and [2G] (samples [F]), at different collection periods. All correlations were significant (p-value < 0.05)

Source: Original research results

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was applied to reduce data dimensionality and analyze variance. Bartlett’s Test of Sphericity (chi-square = 312,811.59, p < 0.05) indicated the adequacy of the correlation matrix. Four principal components (PCs) with eigenvalues greater than 1 were extracted, explaining 95.76% of the total data variance. Component 1 explained 66.49% of the variance, followed by Component 2 with 15.99%, Component 3 with 7.47%, and Component 4 with 5.81%.

The factorial loadings (Figure 3) from PCA showed distinct groupings, with a clear separation between the 1G and 2G yeast samples, especially in Figure 3A, where PC1 explains the majority of the variance (66.49%). This finding indicates that the fermentation type is the main transcriptional differentiation factor between the samples.

Figure 3. “Loading plots” obtained from the factor loadings of industrial yeast transcriptome data subjected to first [1G] and second [2G] generation ethanol fermentations. (A) Factor 1 (PC1) x Factor 2 (PC2); (B) Factor 2 (PC2) x Factor 3 (PC3); and (C) Factor 3 (PC3) x Factor 4 (PC4)

Source: Original research results Note: Orange points: 1G; blue points: 2G

Hierarchical clustering by “complete linkage”

Agglomerative hierarchical clustering, using the “complete linkage” method and Euclidean distance, grouped the industrial yeast samples according to the type of ethanol production (Figure 4), resulting in five distinct groups with a cut-off at a Euclidean distance of 60. The 1G samples were grouped based on fermentation time (final times on the left and initial times on the right of the dendrogram), while the 2G samples did not follow a clear temporal pattern, showing greater transcriptomic heterogeneity.

Figure 4. Dendrogram generated from the hierarchical clustering by “Complete Linkage” of transcriptome data from all 5,938 industrial yeast genes subjected to different fermentation times for the production of first-generation [1G] (samples [TF]) and second-generation [2G] (samples [F]) ethanol

Source: Original research results

The analysis of specific genes of the glycolytic pathway (GP) (Table 5) also separated the yeasts by ethanol type (Figure 5), with two main groups defined by a cut-off at 6 Euclidean distance. The 1G samples were grouped by fermentation time (initial: 1h, 4h, 7h, 10h; final: 12h, 15h). The 2G samples, in turn, were distributed into three subgroups according to fermentation time, with one exclusive for 7h and the others grouping 12h, 16h, and 24h.

Table 5. Genes related to the carbon flux metabolic pathways in industrial yeasts

Source: Translated from Saccharomyces Genome Database [SGD] (2007)

Figure 5. Dendrogram generated from hierarchical clustering by “Complete Linkage” of transcriptome data from genes specific to the Glycolytic Pathway [GP] of industrial yeasts subjected to different fermentation times for first [1G] (TF samples) and second [2G] (F samples) generation of ethanol

Source: Original research results

For the genes of the glycerol route (GR) (Table 5), hierarchical clustering (Figure 6) formed three clusters with a cut-off at a Euclidean distance of 3. Two groups corresponded to the 1G yeasts, separated by fermentation time (1h, 4h, 10h in one group; 12h, 15h in another). The third group was composed of the 2G samples. Notably, the TF2_1G_7h sample (1G, 7h) clustered with the 2G yeasts at the same time (7h), suggesting distinct transcriptomic behavior.

Figure 6. Dendrogram generated from the hierarchical clustering by “Complete Linkage” of transcriptome data of specific genes of the Glycerol [GR] Pathway from industrial yeasts subjected to different times of first [1G] (TF samples) and second [2G] (F samples) generation fermentations

Source: Original research results

In the analysis of the pentose phosphate pathway (PPP) genes (Table 5), hierarchical clustering (Figure 7) resulted in four distinct groups with a cut-off at a Euclidean distance of 3. The first group included 2G samples from 7h and 12h. The second and third groups represented the 1G yeasts, grouped by fermentation time (final times: 10h, 12h, 15h; and initial times: 1h, 4h, 7h). The last group gathered 2G samples at the final fermentation times (12h, 16h, 24h).

Figure 7. Dendrogram generated from the hierarchical clustering by “Complete Linkage” of transcriptome data of specific genes of the Pentose Phosphate Pathway [PPP] of industrial yeasts subjected to different fermentation times for first [1G] (TF samples) and second [2G] (F samples) generation ethanol production

Source: Original research results

Finally, hierarchical clustering based on the tricarboxylic acid (TCA) cycle genes (Table 5) (Figure 8) also showed the separation of yeasts by ethanol type (1G and 2G). With a cut at a Euclidean distance of 5, four main groups were defined. The 1G samples formed two subgroups (10h and 12h in one; 1h, 4h, 7h, and 15h in another). The 2G samples also formed two subgroups (all 7h samples, one isolated 12h sample, and another 16h sample in one; and the remaining 12h, 16h, and 24h samples in another).

Figure 8. Dendrogram generated from the hierarchical clustering by “Complete Linkage” of transcriptome data of specific tricarboxylic acid [TCA] cycle genes from industrial yeasts subjected to different fermentation times for first [1G] (TF samples) and second [2G] (F samples) generation ethanol production

Source: Original research results

Factor Analysis of Mixed Data [FAMD]

Factor Analysis of Mixed Data (FAMD) integrated quantitative (gene expression) and qualitative (fermentation times and types) variables, allowing the identification of association patterns. The first two principal components (PC1 and PC2) explained 73.1% of the total variance (PC1: 55.3%; PC2: 17.8%), indicating a good representation of the data (Figure 9). A strong separation was observed between samples along PC1, with 1G at the positive extreme and 2G at the negative extreme, confirming that the fermentation type is the main source of variation.

Figure 9. Biplot obtained by factorial analysis of mixed data [FAMD] from industrial yeast transcriptomes, considering dimensions 1 and 2

Source: Original research results Note: In this graph, variables such as metabolic pathways associated with genes, times, and types of fermentations for first [1G] and second [2G] generation ethanol production were considered. Acronyms: [GP]: glycolytic pathway, [GR]: glycerol route, [PPP]: pentose phosphate pathway, [TCA]: tricarboxylic acid cycle

The PC3 and PC4 components (Figure 10) explained 12% of the total variance (PC3: 7%; PC4: 5%), with 1G at the negative end of PC3 and 2G at the positive end, indicating a secondary contribution to the overall data structure. Regarding fermentation times, distinct groupings were observed: 1h and 4h positively correlated with PC2; 10h aligned with positive PC1 and 1G; 15h with a strong contribution to PC1 and a negative component in PC2; and 16h and 24h with opposite orientations to 1G, closer to 2G. The 7h time showed intermediate behavior, contributing mainly to PC2.

Figure 10. Biplot obtained by Factor Analysis of Mixed Data [FAMD] from industrial yeast transcriptomes, considering dimensions 3 and 4

Source: Original research results Note: In this graph, variables such as metabolic pathways associated with genes, times, and types of fermentations for first [1G] and second [2G] generation ethanol production were considered. Acronyms: [GP]: glycolytic pathway, [GR]: glycerol route, [PPP]: pentose phosphate pathway, [TCA]: tricarboxylic acid cycle

Metabolic pathway analyses associated with carbon flux (Table 5) revealed distinct patterns. Genes from the glycolytic pathway (GP), such as PFK1 (YGR240C), FBA1 (YKL060C), TPI1 (YDR050C), PGK1 (YJL052W), and PGI1 (YCR012W), were associated with early and late times of 1G fermentation, as were genes from the alcoholic fermentation pathway (PDC1 (YLR044C) and ENO1 (YGR254W)). Genes from the glycerol route (GR), such as GPD1 (YDL022W) and GPD2 (YOL059W), were associated with advanced 1G times, suggesting their role in metabolic adjustment. On the other hand, genes from the pentose phosphate pathway (PPP), such as ZWF1 (YNL241C), GND2 (YGR256W), and RPE1 (YHR183W), corresponded to 2G fermentation. Genes from the tricarboxylic acid cycle (TCA), including CIT1 (YNR001C), SDH1 (YKL148C), IDH1 (YPL262W), and ACO1 (YLR304C), correlated with late 2G times. These results indicate that gene expression variation is strongly associated with differences between 1G and 2G fermentations, as well as with temporal progression.

This work compared the gene expression profiles of industrial yeasts in first (1G) and second (2G) generation fermentations at different times, using unsupervised methods. The results showed a clear separation between the gene expression profiles associated with 1G and 2G processes, attributed to the metabolic differences between yeasts under these fermentation conditions. The type of substrate and process conditions influence the molecular behavior of yeasts. 1G fermentation presented more organized patterns over time, while 2G fermentation exhibited greater variability and metabolic complexity, reflecting the challenges of using lignocellulosic biomass. The analyses also indicated relevant differences between metabolic pathways associated with carbon flow, with the glycolysis pathway more associated with 1G and the pentose phosphate and tricarboxylic acid cycle pathways more involved in 2G. Unsupervised methods were effective in identifying relevant biological patterns, allowing the distinction between the molecular profiles of 1G and 2G fermentations and demonstrating potential as analytical tools for biotechnological improvement of ethanol production. It is important to note that the transcriptome data came from different studies, which may introduce “batch effects” due to variations in sequencing technologies and the number of biological replicates between 1G (2009) and 2G (2016) samples.

4. Conclusion

This study evaluated the transcriptomic profiles of industrial yeasts Saccharomyces cerevisiae “Pedra-2” in first and second-generation ethanol production, at different fermentation times, using unsupervised methods. A clear separation was observed between the gene expression profiles associated with first and second-generation processes, with the fermentation type being the main factor of variability. It was observed that first-generation samples exhibited greater temporal organization and stability, while second-generation samples demonstrated greater heterogeneity and metabolic complexity, reflecting the challenges of using lignocellulosic biomass. Differences were identified in metabolic pathways associated with carbon flux, with glycolysis predominating in first-generation fermentation and greater participation of the pentose phosphate pathway and the tricarboxylic acid cycle in second-generation fermentation. The main contribution lies in demonstrating the effectiveness of unsupervised methods for identifying relevant biological patterns, deepening the understanding of metabolic distinctions between the processes and providing subsidies for optimization strategies in ethanol production.

However, it is important to consider the limitations arising from the origin of the transcriptome data, which comes from different studies, potentially introducing “batch effects” due to variations in sequencing technologies and the number of biological replicates. Furthermore, the exploratory nature of unsupervised methods prevents direct causal inferences. For future studies, the incorporation of supervised approaches, greater experimental standardization, and validation with new datasets are suggested. Such initiatives can deepen the understanding of the molecular mechanisms involved and broaden the potential application of these results in industrial contexts, contributing to the biotechnological improvement of ethanol production.

Bibliographic References

Basso, LC.; De Amorim, H. V.; De Oliveira, A. J.; Lopes, M. L. 2011. Yeast selection for fuel ethanol production in Brazil. FEMS Yeast Research 11(2): 151-164.

Goldemberg, J. 2008. The Brazilian biofuels industry. Biotechnology for Biofuels 1-6.

Leite, R.C.C.; Leal, M.R.L.V.; Cortez, L.A.B.; Griffin, W. M.; Scandiffio, M.I.G. (2009). Can Brazil replace 5% of the 2025 gasoline world demand with ethanol? Energy 34(5): 655-661.

Renewable Fuels Association [RFA]. 2024. Market & Statistics – Annual Ethanol Production – 2024. Disponível em: . Acesso em: 10 mar. 2025.

Roman, C. 2010. Portal Ecodebate – Brasil busca liderança na produção de biocombustível.

Wheals, Α.Ε.; Basso, L.C; Alves, D.M.; Amorim, H.V. 1999. Fuel ethanol after 25 years. Trends Biotechnology 17(12):482-487.

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Economy, Investments And Banking

October 23, 2026

Financial Education, Behaviors and Biases in Financial Decision Making

Personal financial management represents a growing challenge, influenced by cognitive biases that affect decision-making, even in individuals with high knowledge. The present study analyzed the relationship between the level of financial education and the occurrence of behavioral biases in the financial decision-making of adults residing in Brazil. An applied, quantitative, and descriptive-correlational field survey was conducted by administering a structured questionnaire to 163 respondents. The instrument included sociodemographic variables, financial knowledge and habits, and hypothetical situations to identify cognitive biases. The results indicated that higher levels of financial education were associated with better financial control, saving, and investment practices, with significant correlations with income and schooling. However, the presence of behavioral biases (anchoring, loss aversion, scarcity, optimism/negativity, present bias, status quo, overconfidence, and mental accounting) persisted even among individuals with higher schooling and income, with no statistically significant association with the analyzed sociodemographic variables. It was concluded that financial education, although essential for financial organization and control, was not sufficient to neutralize the influence of cognitive biases. The incorporation of behavioral approaches into financial education programs is suggested.

Keywords: Financial behavior; Behavioral economics; Personal finance; Cognitive heuristics; Cognitive biases.

October 22, 2026

Consumer Journey in the Decision to Purchase Infoproducts in the Digital Environment

The expansion of e-commerce and technological transformation have driven the need to understand consumer behavior regarding infoproducts, whose perceived experience has become crucial for professional development. The study aimed to analyze the factors that influenced the purchase decision of infoproducts in the digital environment, considering the stages of the consumer journey. An applied, quantitative, and descriptive research was conducted through a field survey with 100 consumers from Serra Gaúcha. Data collection occurred via a structured questionnaire, using non-probabilistic sampling. The results revealed a qualified audience with strong “mobile-first” behavior. It was found that the availability of detailed information and social approval were the main attraction triggers in the pre-purchase phase. In the transactional and subsequent stages, the minimization of operational friction, the agility of immediate access, and system security proved crucial for conversion and satisfaction, although gaps in human support efficiency were identified. Retention was based on the trust generated by positive past experiences, overcoming the price factor. It was concluded that the infoproduct consumer journey operates as an integrated system, requiring alignment between technological infrastructure, content curation, and support humanization to ensure engagement.

Keywords: E-commerce; Consumer behavior; Consumer experience; Loyalty; Virtual business.

October 22, 2026

Forecast of Aggregate Default in the Brazilian Financial System by Sarimax Model with Macroeconomic Variables

Aggregate non-payment in the Brazilian financial system is a crucial indicator of credit risk, the prediction of which is regulated by CMN Resolutions n.° 4.557/2017 and 4.966/2021 for the prospective measurement of expected losses. Aggregate non-payment was modeled and predicted using the SARIMAX model, projecting its trajectory until December 2026 under optimistic, base, and pessimistic scenarios. 164 monthly observations (July/2012 to February/2026) and macroeconomic variables such as unemployment, Selic, IPCA, IBC-Br, and household debt were used. The specification with contemporaneous variables was selected based on information criteria and coefficient stability, and residual diagnostics confirmed statistical adequacy, with a MAPE of 3.12%. Historical non-payment ranged between 4.33% and 7.64%. The estimation identified unemployment (β = 0.2534; p < 0.001) and Selic (β = 0.2128; p < 0.001) as the main positive determinants, with strong temporal persistence (AR(1) = 0.8965). Selic showed increasing correlation with non-payment (r = 0.62 at lag 12), while unemployment demonstrated a contemporaneous effect (r = 0.33). Projections indicated non-payment between 6.30% and 7.98% in December 2026, with a range of 1.68 percentage points, highlighting direct implications for provisioning in financial institutions.

Keywords: Unemployment; Predictive modeling; Monetary policy; Loss provisioning; Time series.